Bitcoin, Credit, and the People Pulling the Strings
How Wall Street Credit, Politics, and Bitcoin Treasury Companies Are Setting the Stage for the Next Big Move
TL;DR
Bitcoin is being kind of dumpy right now and there could be more downside coming soon. Red candles. Sideways action. Boring vibes.
This isnât going to last.
Bitcoin has a habit of looking sleepy right before it wakes up loud.
The same market that prints ugly red candles also prints sudden, violent green onesâoften when people least expect it.
This is the time to pay attention.
The time to get READY by finding dry powder
Get SET by ensuring you have a way to buy Bitcoin (Coinbase, Gemini, Kraken, CashApp, Venmo, PayPal, etc)
GO time is no single day, itâs you slowly nibbling as the price drops. Weekly automatic purchases.
The show isnât over.
Itâs just getting started.
Quote of the Day
âMarkets donât break when things go wrong â they break when leverage meets uncertainty.â - The Inspirator
Letâs start with the uncomfortable truth:
When credit, politics, and money printing start overlappingâŚ
Markets donât move slowly.
They move violently.
And right now, Bitcoin is sitting in the middle of all three.
First: What Credit Actually Is (Still Keeping It Simple)
Most people hear credit and think:
⢠Credit score
⢠Credit card
⢠âIâll pay it off next monthâ
Real credit is simpler:
Credit = someone gives you cash today because they trust youâll pay them back later.
Thatâs it.
No trust?
No credit.
Now imagine Bitcoin being used as the reason people trust you.
Thatâs whatâs happening right now.
Strategy Lit the Match
Michael Saylor and Strategy showed Wall Street something new:
âYou can raise money, buy Bitcoin, then raise more money because you own Bitcoin.â
They sell fancy IOUs.
Investors give cash.
Strategy buys Bitcoin.
Bitcoin strengthens the balance sheet.
The balance sheet unlocks more credit.
Some of those IOUs even pay 10%+.
Wall Street loves two things:
⢠Yield
⢠A story it can explain to clients
Bitcoin treasury companies gave them both.
XXI Didnât Just Join â It Brought the Adults
XXI (Twenty One) showed up with:
⢠Jack Mallers â Bitcoin maximalist, payments guy, Strike CEO
⢠David Bailey â Bitcoin policy operator tied deep into U.S. politics
⢠Cantor Fitzgerald â One of Wall Streetâs most powerful firms
XXI went public via a SPAC sponsored by Cantor Fitzgerald.
This matters.
Because for decades, Howard Lutnick ran Cantor â and today, he sits inside Trumpâs cabinet.
That means XXI isnât just:
⢠Financial
⢠Or Bitcoin-native
Itâs politically adjacent.
Thatâs how new systems become allowed.
Why These Companies Matter to Bitcoinâs Price (A Lot)
Bitcoin treasury companies change the market in three big ways:
1ď¸âŁ They Create Permanent Buyers
These companies donât trade Bitcoin.
They accumulate it.
That removes supply from the market.
Less supply = more sensitivity to demand.
2ď¸âŁ They Turn Bitcoin Into Collateral
Once Bitcoin is treated like:
⢠Balance-sheet strength
⢠Credit support
⢠Strategic reserve
It stops acting like a ârisk assetâ and starts acting like financial infrastructure.
Thatâs a slow shift⌠until it isnât.
3ď¸âŁ They Add Leverage to the System
This is important.
Credit cuts both ways.
In good times:
⢠More credit â more buying â price acceleration
In bad times:
⢠Credit tightens â forced selling â volatility
These companies can amplify moves up and down.
So⌠Bear Market or Moon Shot in 2026?
Short answer: Both are possible â timing matters.
Letâs break it down.
The Bull Case (Why a Moon Shot Is on the Table)
Hereâs what lines up bullish:
⢠Bitcoin treasury companies keep accumulating
⢠The Clarity Act potentially passes mid-year, giving the U.S. real crypto rules
⢠Election-year politics favor growth narratives
⢠Bitcoin becomes âallowedâ capital, not tolerated capital
⢠A new Fed chair could signal looser policy
Translation:
More clarity + more credit + political cover = demand shock
Thatâs how moon shots happen.
The Bear Case (Why Pain Is Still Possible)
Now the other side:
⢠Treasury companies rely on capital markets staying open
⢠If rates stay high, credit gets expensive
⢠If markets wobble, premiums compress
⢠Leverage works against you in drawdowns
Translation:
Credit dries up â flywheels stall â volatility returns fast
Bitcoin doesnât go up in straight lines.
Never has.
Where Interest Rates and the Fed Fit In
This part matters more than most people realize.
A new Fed chair means:
⢠New tone
⢠New priorities
⢠New tolerance for inflation vs growth
If rates fall:
⢠Credit expands
⢠Bitcoin benefits
If rates stay restrictive:
⢠Leverage struggles
⢠Weak hands get shaken
Bitcoin loves liquidity.
Always has.
The Big Picture (Zoom Way Out)
Hereâs the honest take:
Bitcoin treasury companies donât kill bear markets â they reshape them.
Instead of:
⢠Random retail panic
You get:
⢠Structured volatility
⢠Credit cycles
⢠Institutional reflexes
Bitcoin is growing up.
Growing up is messy.
What This Means for Normal People
You have three real choices:
Option 1: Hold Bitcoin directly
Still the cleanest.
Still the least complicated.
Still the long-term winner for most people.
Option 2: Earn yield tied to Bitcoin
Higher income.
Higher complexity.
Higher risk.
Know what you own.
Option 3: Ride the stocks
More upside.
More downside.
Not for weak stomachs.
The One Line to Remember
Bitcoin is no longer just an asset â itâs becoming collateral for the global credit system, and that changes how every cycle behaves.
That doesnât mean âonly up.â
It means bigger moves.
Question of the Day
As Bitcoin moves deeper into Wall Street and Washington, do you think 2026 brings:
A) A violent shakeout before liftoff
B) A straight-line moon shot
C) Both â just not in the order people expect
Leave me a comment below, would love to hear what you think :)



The transition from Bitcoin-as-asset to Bitcoin-as-collateral fundamentally changes its relationship with Fed policy. When treasury companies leverage BTC for credit, they're creating reflexive loops that amplify both directions, which means Fed chair selection and rate trajectory mattr way more than most crypto natives wanna admit. I've watched credit cycles long enough to know the leverage unwind scenarios get ugly fast when liquidity tightens.