🎢 Bitcoin: The “Calm Down, We’re Still Early” Market Update
Where we pretend to be shocked that Bitcoin is doing Bitcoin things
Guess what day it is? C’mon guess what day - it - is. HUMPDAY YEAH! Still on travel and busier than ever but given the market movements I figure I should put my thoughts out so I don’t have to respond to everyone individually. Remember folks, these are MY thoughts on the market and it’s NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. Just as I give the predictors crap, I’d be ecstatic to be proven wrong or ridiculed if things turn out just peachy; I win either way. Have a great day folks!
🤝 Bitcoin Mindset
“The goal isn’t to time the market. The goal is to stay in long enough to benefit from its truth.”
Yeah, let’s talk about this recent pullback.
Yes, it’s been annoying.
Yes, your group chat has one guy suddenly talking about “rotating into AI coins.”
Yes, the influencers who swore we were going to $150K last Tuesday are now quietly posting gym selfies instead of charts.
But let’s keep it all the way real:
This is still a bull market.
We’re just in the middle chapter — the one where the plot slows down and half the audience forgets they’re watching a trilogy and realize the buying will never stop: Bitcoin accumulators bought 375,000 BTC in just 30 days, with the dip below $100,000 boosting their holdings by 50,000 BTC on Tuesday.
Japan’s Metaplanet raises $100 MILLION to buy more Bitcoin
🔑 The Level That Matters Right Now: $106K
Think of $106K like the club bouncer.
If Bitcoin can walk up, show ID, say “I’m on the list,” and stay inside for more than a few hours —
we’re vibing our way back to $112K → $115K territory.
AKA: Back to ATH.
But if Bitcoin gets to the rope and stutters like,
“S—so what had happened was…”
Then the bouncer sends us back to $98K–$102K to think about our choices.
No drama. Just levels.
🌧️ The “Rejected at $106K” Scenario
If we fail the $106K test, don’t panic. Don’t sell. Don’t text your ex.
We just:
Consolidate under $100K for a few weeks
Twitter/X becomes unbearable
Someone on YouTube will make a chart that looks like a Dorito chip and swear “the pattern is clear”
And then…
🎅 The Santa Rally
Historically, Bitcoin loves a good end-of-year redemption arc.
Think of it as:
“I may have been messy all year, but I will absolutely look good in the holiday photos.”
So December rally back toward $112K–$115K?
Yep. Very likely.
But not a breakout to $130K.
Not this year.
📆 Timeline Check (So We Don’t Get Lost Again)
So yes — $130K is a 2026 thing.
Not a 2025 thing.
If we hit $130K in 2025, it would be like the DJ playing the club banger before everyone gets their drink. Not the right moment. No emotional impact.
We want the build-up, the tension, the TikTok hysteria, the “my barber is buying sats” confirmation signal.
2026 is when the movie montage kicks in.
💬 The Bottom Line
My thesis:
$106K is the pivot.
Reclaim → back to $115K.
Reject → sub-$100K chop.
Santa rally finishes the year strong.
The real vertical madness = 2026.
This isn’t hopium.
This is literally how Bitcoin always does it.
We’re in the middle of the bull, not the end.
So breathe.
Stack.
Walk.
Lift.
Touch some grass occasionally.
Let Bitcoin be Bitcoin.
✨ Question of the Day
What’s something you’re working on now that your future self will thank you for — even if progress feels slow?
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