FiboSwanny’s $195K–$209K BTC Forecast: Plausible—or Pie in the Sky?
Can he truly see the future or is he just lucky?
I’ve had the pleasure to know FiboSwanny for five plus years and used to do a show with him wayyyy back in the day titled Support and Resistance. Since then his star has risen and he is in high demand on many popular YouTube shows.
Claim:
FiboSwanny (Brian Swan) has projected that Bitcoin could reach $195K to $209Kearliest by September or October 2025 latest end of year based on his technical analysis using Fibonacci structures as part of his "Threshold Theory."
What Analysts Are Saying
Moderate Push:
Some analysts foresee a continued rally, suggesting $150K is achievable and that breaking above $125K could serve as a springboard toward that level.(Barron's, Reuters)Higher Targets in Play:
Global X ETFs forecast a move to $200K within a year, driven by surging institutional inflows.(The Australian)
Anthony Scaramucci predicts BTC could reach $200K in 2025, aligning with growing asset adoption narratives.(MarketWatch)
Broader commentary even entertains the idea of $200K–$1 million, though these are highly speculative.(The Economic Times)
Fibonacci-Based Target:
A recent analysis using a 5.618 Fibonacci extension projects a BTC target of around $166,754 by September 2025—well below FiboSwanny’s forecast, but still bullish.(AInvest)
Current Fundamentals & Tailwinds
Macro & Policy Momentum:
Expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts are mounting, creating a favorable macro backdrop.(coinlore.com, Reuters)
Institutional adoption continues strongly. Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and crypto-friendly U.S. policy shifts are adding upward pressure.(Reuters, Barron's, The Australian)
Final Take
FiboSwanny’s earliest call for $195K–$209K by autumn 2025 (latest end of year) is bullish but within the realm of possibility, especially if macro momentum continues and institutional inflows scale further. However, it sits near the upper bound of current expectations. The more widely shared forecasts range closer to $150K–$200K, with technical models like the 5.618 Fib extension targeting $166K.
In short: It’s not impossible—but the odds favor more moderate gains unless a paradigm-shifting wave of adoption or stimulus materializes.
Who Is FiboSwanny (Brian Swan)?
Identity: Real name Brian Swan, known in the trading community as FiboSwanny. He holds the CFTe (Certified Financial Technician) credential, affirming his professional standing in technical analysis.
Media Presence: Regularly featured on the Krown Krypto Show, where he discusses market structure, Fibonacci setups, and Bitcoin price forecasts.
(YouTube)Community & Teaching: A core contributor to Texas West Capital (TWC). He offers structured education via their TWC Trading Academy, which includes signals, immersive workshops, and a unique method dubbed “Fibonacci Threshold Theory.”
(TWC Trading Academy)Public Voice: Active on X (formerly Twitter) as
@FiboSwanny, where he shares market insights and invites followers to engage with his Threshold Theory group.
(X (formerly Twitter))
What Is Fibonacci Threshold Theory (FTT)?
While FTT’s full methodology is proprietary, here's what’s publicly indicated:
Framed around Fibonacci retracements/extensions—classic technical levels derived from the golden ratio used to anticipate support, resistance, and reaction zones.
Likely incorporates price thresholds where market behavior shifts—possibly integrating momentum filtering, structural zones, or confluence levels (though details are exclusive to TWC members).
FiboSwanny emphasizes that “HODLing is belief, but using fibs is understanding the rhythm of the market.”
(X (formerly Twitter))
How to Explore His Work
Watch Krown Krypto episodes featuring FiboSwanny for real-time commentary and setup breakdowns.
(YouTube)Follow him on X (
@FiboSwanny) to catch chart insights and Threshold Theory promotions.
(X (formerly Twitter))Enroll in TWC Trading Academy to access:
FTT educational series
Signals
Workshops and seminars
(TWC Trading Academy)
